Virginia
W-L: (10- 3) PR = 84.4234Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 7, 72.8) 48- 7 906 A NC St ACC ( 8- 4, 83.5) 31-35 913 H Will & Mary 55-16 920 H Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 76.3) 48-20 926 H Florida St ACC ( 5- 7, 80.8) 46-38 1004 A Louisville ACC ( 8- 5, 84.2) 34-27 1018 H Wash St P12 ( 6- 6, 81.7) 22-20 1025 A UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 75.9) 17-16 1101 A California ACC ( 6- 6, 75.5) 30-21 1108 H Wake Forest ACC ( 8- 4, 79.4) 9-16 1115 A Duke ACC ( 8- 5, 82.2) 34-17 1129 H Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 72.4) 27- 7 1206 A Duke ACC ( 8- 5, 82.2) 20-27
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Coastal Car 48- 7 41 14 0.00
906 A NC St 31-35 -4 -2 - -2.27
920 H Stanford 48-20 28 11 + 3.24
926 H Florida St 46-38 8 6 1.73
1004 A Louisville 34-27 7 -2 +++ 9.48
1018 H Wash St 22-20 2 5 - -3.44
1025 A UNC 17-16 1 6 -- -4.80
1101 A California 30-21 9 6 + 2.79
1108 H Wake Forest 9-16 -7 8 --- -14.67
1115 A Duke 34-17 17 0 +++ 14.46
1129 H Va Tech 27- 7 20 15 0.00
1206 A Duke 20-27 -7 0 --- -6.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Wake Forest 9-16 -7 8 --- -14.67 1206 A Duke 20-27 -7 0 --- -6.54 1025 A UNC 17-16 1 6 -- -4.80 906 A NC St 31-35 -4 -2 - -2.27 1018 H Wash St 22-20 2 5 - -3.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A Louisville 34-27 7 -2 +++ 9.48 1115 A Duke 34-17 17 0 +++ 14.46 920 H Stanford 48-20 28 11 + 3.24 1101 A California 30-21 9 6 + 2.79 |
Virginia Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Virginia | Virginia 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| California | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Clemson | Virginia | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) | Virginia | |
| Duke | Duke | Duke 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Florida St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Georgia Tech | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Virginia | |
| Louisville | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Miami | Miami | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Miami | |
| UNC | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | SMU | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | SMU | |
| Stanford | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Syracuse | Virginia | Virginia 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Va Tech | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Charlotte | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Ea Carolina | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Fla Atlantic | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Memphis | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Navy | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| No Texas | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Rice | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Tulane | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Tulsa | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| UAB | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| UTSA | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| BYU | BYU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Cincinnati | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Colorado | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Houston | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Iowa St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Kansas | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Minnesota | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Nebraska | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Northwestern | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Rutgers | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| UCLA | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Florida Intl | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Kennesaw St | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Liberty | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| La Tech | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Middle Tenn | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| NM St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| SHouston St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| UTEP | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| We Kentucky | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| UMass | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Akron | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Ball St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Bowl. Green | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Buffalo | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Cen Michigan | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Ea Michigan | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Kent State | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| MiamiOH | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| No Illinois | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Ohio | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Toledo | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| We Michigan | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Air Force | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Boise State | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Colorado St | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Fresno St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Hawaii | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Nevada | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| New Mexico | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| San Diego St | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| San Jose St | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| UNLV | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Utah St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Wyoming | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Oregon St | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Wash St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Alabama | |
| Arkansas | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | Virginia | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Virginia | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Arkansas State | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Coastal Car | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Georgia So | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Georgia St | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| J Madison | J Madison | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Marshall | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Old Dominion | Virginia | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Virginia | |
| So Miss | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| So Alabama | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Texas State | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Troy | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| La-Monroe | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Delaware | Virginia | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Missouri St | Virginia | Virginia |
PowerWise = 100
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Coastal Car ( 6- 7, 72.8) 48- 7 -27.08 20.07 -2.67 1.01 35.18
0 A NC St ( 8- 4, 83.5) 31-35 -16.42 30.73 2.67 1.01 -6.95
0 H Stanford ( 4- 8, 76.3) 48-20 -23.56 23.59 -2.67 1.01 42.28
0 H Florida St ( 5- 7, 80.8) 46-38 -19.07 28.08 -2.67 1.01 51.38
0 A Louisville ( 8- 5, 84.2) 34-27 -15.67 31.48 2.67 1.01 69.07
0 H Wash St ( 6- 6, 81.7) 22-20 -18.24 28.91 -2.67 1.01 53.05
0 A UNC ( 5- 7, 75.9) 17-16 -23.95 23.20 2.67 1.01 52.32
0 A California ( 6- 6, 75.5) 30-21 -24.36 22.79 2.67 1.01 51.48
0 H Wake Forest ( 8- 4, 79.4) 9-16 -20.47 26.68 -2.67 1.01 -11.70
0 A Duke ( 8- 5, 82.2) 34-17 -17.69 29.46 2.67 1.01 64.98
0 H Va Tech ( 2-10, 72.4) 27- 7 -27.50 19.65 -2.67 1.01 34.32
0 A Duke ( 8- 5, 82.2) 20-27 -17.69 29.46 2.67 1.01 -7.59
------
427.82
|
winning pts = 454.0547 losing points = -26.2367
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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